Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.6%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 29 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 139 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2024 to 14 Jan 2025, the highest close was 25.7% on 23 Sep 2024 and the lowest 1.6% on 29 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 25.7% on 23 Sep 2024. $900.2K traded over the market's life.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 15, 5:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 139 points, 29 Aug 2024 – 14 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2024 | 1.6% |
| 14 Jan 2025 | 8.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 372.65K |
| Chupa | Yes | 10.07K |
| Jade Quasar D7A7 | Yes | 3.24K |
NFC Champion
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nfc-champion
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 2.76K |
| SDfasadsfadsfads | Yes | 1K |
| jtup | Yes | 466.82 |
| JackTorrance | Yes | 277.78 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 200 |
| Cobalt Ledger D677 | Yes | 103.36 |
| Emerald Comet 5333 | Yes | 100.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
