Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82%. Yes opened at 20% on 13 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2024 to 6 Dec 2024, the highest close was 27% on 17 Nov 2024 and the lowest 14% on 21 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 14% on 21 Nov 2024. $22.6K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 13 Nov 2024 – 6 Dec 2024, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2024 | 20.0% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.7K |
| heuer | Yes | 1.17K |
| wiseguy | Yes | 302.3 |
| Cobalt Harbor 0E10 | Yes | 8.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 12,000 in October 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 100,000 (inclusive) and 150,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November, scheduled to be released on December 6, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-november
| wokerjoesleeper | No | 0.06 |
| FGJRTYDFG | Yes | 0.06 |
| URTIYETY | Yes | 0.06 |
| HJGKHFJ | Yes | 0.04 |
| UTIOTOTY | Yes | 0.04 |
| UIYUOYRIU | Yes | 0.04 |
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