Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 5 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the low 1.3% on 16 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 97 points up, to 98.3% on 17 Mar 2025. $25.11K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 8:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 5 Feb 2025 – 18 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2025 | 58.0% |
| 18 Mar 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PolyDump | No | 100 |
| Twizzler | No | 77.59 |
| BingLamb | No | 1.58 |
| LabubuFan1488 | Yes | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any illegal alien who is not a citizen of El Salvador in the custody of U.S. law enforcement or correctional authorities, is transferred to El Salvador for the purpose of incarceration or deportation by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, an illegal alien must be transferred to El Salvador, and physically enter the terrestrial or territory. Entering the maritime territory or airspace will not qualify. Any transfer meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or reversed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-deport-illegal-migrants-to-el-salvador-before-april
| Bundt-cake | Yes | 0.04 |
| ShuRuGa | Yes | 0.02 |
| bignickck | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | Yes | 0.01 |
| otencrtu | No | 0.01 |
| testeman | No | 0 |
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