Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 1.7% on 30 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2023 to 1 Sep 2023, the highest close was 2.4% on 1 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Aug 2023. $855.76K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 30 Jun 2023 – 1 Sep 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2023 | 1.7% |
| 1 Sep 2023 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Formal-Barrel | Yes | 59.83K |
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 48.52K |
| Poor-Chef | Yes | 13.79K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by August 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-by-august-31
| Yes |
| 8.54K |
| Tbunt1212 | Yes | 7.92K |
| Noxious-Factory | Yes | 6.66K |
| Aliens2Here | Yes | 5.93K |
| Messy-University | Yes | 5.48K |
| Arto | Yes | 5.42K |
| tmorrissey | Yes | 5.18K |
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