Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?

politicsResolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$40.3K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 31% on 15 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 31% on 15 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 27% on 20 Aug 2024. $40.31K traded over the market's life.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 10:07 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 15 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Aug 2024	31.0%
1 Sep 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MatrixMember	Yes	150.87
WlNTERMUTE	Yes	16.13
MantaStyle	Yes	0.03
AJK1963	Yes	0.03

10 of 38 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On August 14 it was reported that a hacker group called "USDoD" stole the Social Security numbers of every American from National Public Data. You can read more about that here: https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2024-08-13/hacker-claims-theft-of-every-american-social-security-number This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US federal agency definitively states that a majority of or all Americans' social security numbers were stolen in this hack by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.