Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.8%. Yes opened at 25% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 2 May 2025, the highest close was 25% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 3% on 23 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 16.5% on 9 Apr 2025. $14.61K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 2 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 25.0% |
| 2 May 2025 | 9.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.45K |
| heuer | Yes | 500 |
| unsterile | Yes | 101.46 |
| BruceTrading | Yes | 10.87 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for April 2025, scheduled to be released on May 2, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-april-392
| SuARas | No | 0.02 |
| theamityaff | No | 0.01 |
| b777 | No | 0.01 |
| uriidmitrych | No | 0.01 |
| Karekken | No | 0.01 |
| aidentika | No | 0.01 |
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