Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 8 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 8 Mar 2025 to 4 Apr 2025, the highest close was 34% on 31 Mar 2025 and the lowest 14.5% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 20.5% on 2 Apr 2025. $9.75K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 4:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 8 Mar 2025 – 4 Apr 2025, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | 24.5% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| Indigo Falcon EBB4 | Yes | 900 |
| Misty Lynx EB15 | Yes | 410 |
| Bright Lynx 23EB | Yes | 360 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March, scheduled to be released on April 4, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-march-2025
| heuer | Yes | 192 |
| Azure Beacon A11F | Yes | 80 |
| azadam | Yes | 68.97 |
| LtxSmuggler | Yes | 65.74 |
| Bright Vector 394E | Yes | 20 |
| Keen Kestrel 8A10 | Yes | 10 |
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