Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 9 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 35.5% on 9 Oct 2024 and the lowest 13% on 17 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 19.5% on 10 Oct 2024. $6.15K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 1:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 9 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | 35.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.78K |
| heuer | Yes | 1.45K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 731.72 |
| Harry1287 | Yes | 17.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 150,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-october
| Bold Comet 45C4 | Yes | 11 |
| SPIRaLAurORAe | Yes | 0.78 |
| VortexbLuFFsToNEfLickErINg | Yes | 0.72 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
