Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 9 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 36.5% on 9 Oct 2024 and the lowest 22.5% on 24 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 31.5% on 29 Oct 2024. $25.27K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 9 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | 36.5% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.78K |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 1.01K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 731.72 |
| Yutysh | Yes | 351.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 100,000 (inclusive) and 150,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-october
| heuer | Yes | 99.94 |
| edddd | Yes | 4.44 |
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