Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be less than 0.1?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$3.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 31 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, the highest close was 72% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 40% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 58.5% on 29 Jul 2026. $3.54K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 3:55 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jul 2026	41.5%
31 Jul 2026	72.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	346.43
dajunshishui	No	73.15
.Menthe	No	50
hesure	No	25

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.