Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 29 be exactly 0.1?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 41% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 21% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 47% on 28 Jul 2026. $1.74K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 4:15 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jul 2026	41.0%
31 Jul 2026	21.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	346.43
Shy-Note	Yes	65
.Menthe	Yes	50
hesure	Yes	25

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.