Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 9 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2024 to 11 Oct 2024, the highest close was 36.5% on 9 Oct 2024 and the lowest 9% on 11 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 9.5% on 10 Oct 2024. $10.55K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 9:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 Oct 2024 – 11 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | 36.5% |
| 11 Oct 2024 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees (UNRWA) wins the 2024 Nobel Peace prize. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the UNRWA wins the prize along with another person/entity, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement form the Swedish Academy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-unrwa-win-the-nobel-peace-prize
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
