
Resolved No on 12 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 20% on 22 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 22 Feb 2024 to 12 May 2024, the highest close was 20% on 22 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 15.3% on 10 Mar 2024. $31.69K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 5:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 22 Feb 2024 – 12 May 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2024 | 20.0% |
| 12 May 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 45.94K |
| Fam | Yes | 62 |
| lxlxlx | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-winner
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 0.03 |