Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 49% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 13 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.4% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 9% on 12 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 89 points up, to 98.4% on 13 Aug 2026. $6.52K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 7:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 13 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 49.0% |
| 13 Aug 2026 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Delightful-Zucchini-Mapping | No | 430.88 |
| BrittanyBarnes5332 | No | 200 |
| kookies97 | No | 89.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Reykjavík Airport (stationID:BIRK) METAR observation at 18:00 UTC on August 12, 2026 reports a Cloud Coverage Level 1 (skyc1) value of SKC, CLR, FEW, or SCT. This market will resolve to "No" if that observation reports BKN, OVC, or VV, or are missing after applying the rules listed below. If the 18:00 UTC BIRK observation is missing or not reported within 24 hours, the 17:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used instead or, if it is also missing, the 19:00 UTC BIRK observation will be used. If both are missing, this market will resolve based on Keflavík International Airport's (stationID:BIKF) observations using the same time hierarchy. The primary resolution source is the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) ASOS archive (mesonet.agron.iastate.edu), routine hourly reports only, skyc1 field. The raw METAR text of the qualifying observation governs in the event of any discrepancy in the parsed CSV field. This market cannot resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. Revisions to the cloud coverage recorded by the resolution source will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. At the time of the launch of this market, a CSV file that will update with the relevant observations can be found here: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/request/asos.py?network=IS__ASOS&station=BIRK&data=skyc1&year1=2026&month1=8&day1=12&year2=2026&month2=8&day2=12&tz=Etc%2FUTC&format=onlycomma&latlon=no&elev=no&missing=M&trace=T&direct=no&report_type=3&report_type=4
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-total-solar-eclipse-be-highly-visible-in-reykjavik-20260723014439982
| No |
| 50 |
| .Menthe | No | 49.99 |
| ijs | No | 45.91 |
| PPMT | No | 29.96 |
| aaghkdd | No | 14 |
| LMBY | No | 10 |
| Simplistic-Breastplate | Yes | 7.69 |
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