Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 17,500,000 and 18,000,000?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 23, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 23, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.1%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 23 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 14 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 25.4% on 22 Mar 2026.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 12:10 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 23 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
14 Mar 2026	50.5%
23 Mar 2026	4.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	Yes	500
Indigo Signal 2966	No	175.32
zhulizhen1	Yes	146.55
iikmn	Yes	115.97

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between March 16, 2026 and March 22, 2026 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from March 16, 2026 to March 22, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.