Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 31.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 45% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 55.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 18, 12:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 818.32 |
| Rapid Pulse C73C | Yes | 162.19 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| aquafish-..-..- | Yes | 128.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 16, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution source: https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-tsa-passengers-march-16
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 34.61 |
| aricel | Yes | 18.86 |
| Amber Horizon 6EB5 | Yes | 14 |
| Lunar Falcon A6C1 | Yes | 8.18 |
| Unique-Index | Yes | 5 |
| CHENDAOZAI112 | Yes | 4.4 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
