Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win 120-124 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Sep 18, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 18, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 12 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 18 Sep 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 14.5% on 19 Aug 2026. $3.12K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 18 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Aug 2026	36.5%
18 Sep 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.33K
balthazar	Yes	900
Tattered-Ephyra	Yes	595.01

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).