Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 55% on 12 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 55% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 97.8% on 13 Mar 2026.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | 55.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.1K |
| Devoted-Route | No | 2.76K |
| yangguang0511 | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 South Australian state election will be held on or before 21 March 2026 to elect members of the 56th Parliament of South Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party controls the most seats in the House of Assembly (South Australia’s lower house) as a result of the next South Australian state election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a higher total number of first preference votes. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party’s shorthand name. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Australian government, specifically the South Australian Electoral Commission (ECSA) (https://www.ecsa.sa.gov.au/). Note: All candidates marked on the ballot as independent candidates will not contribute to the totals of any political party. This includes, for example, Socialist candidates running as independents.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-australia-parliamentary-election-winner
| No |
| 1.43K |
| TENETENET | No | 1K |
| wxy7766 | No | 1K |
| julymarc | No | 222.22 |
| lgUxTg1HVnT52j6prPGnTKs9ExI9mV5B | No | 142.86 |
| Alaico | No | 44.5 |
| Frosty-Drawing | No | 41.09 |
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