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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.998 | $3.93 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 58.09 |
| $0.310 |
| $18.01 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETUp | buy | 21.02 | $0.944 | $19.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETUp | buy | 1.71K | $0.010 | $17.15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp | buy | 23.97 | $0.380 | $9.11 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 18.56 | $0.500 | $9.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp | buy | 15.71 | $0.600 | $9.42 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETUp | buy | 12.76 | $0.756 | $9.65 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 31.7 | $0.220 | $6.97 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | sell | 19.28 | $0.280 | $5.4 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | buy | 18.56 | $0.500 | $9.28 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 13.01 | $0.740 | $9.63 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 13.33 | $0.720 | $9.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 16.18 | $0.950 | $15.37 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 15.71 | $0.600 | $9.42 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 17.9 | $0.520 | $9.31 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | sell | 11.14 | $0.940 | $10.47 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 11.06 | $0.890 | $9.84 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.971 | $3.1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 9.31 | $0.850 | $7.91 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 39.6 | $0.293 | $11.59 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?Yes | buy | 4.01 | $0.997 | $4 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.11 | $0.570 | $2.91 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?No | buy | 14.68 | $0.470 | $6.9 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.870 | $8.1 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 39.6 | $0.250 | $9.9 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?Yes | sell | 17.22 | $0.898 | $15.47 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.987 | $3.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.972 | $3.6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 22?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.530 | $7.46 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 22?Yes | buy | 16.99 | $0.630 | $10.7 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.014 | $0.17 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | sell | 4.96 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.070 | $0.23 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?Yes | sell | 26.57 | $0.008 | $0.22 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?No | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Wilson be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.45 | $0.090 | $0.58 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.026 | $0.65 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.170 | $0.75 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$3,000 | sell | 1.66 | $0.500 | $0.83 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.001 | $1.51 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31?Yes | sell | 118.51 | $0.013 | $1.54 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes | sell | 21.73 | $0.379 | $8.23 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.200 | $0.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 FIBA World Cup Qualifiers: Italy vs. Puerto RicoPuerto Rico | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |