Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 26% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 19 Sep 2026, the highest close was 26% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 8.5% on 10 Sep 2026. $1.86K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 19 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 26.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.77K |
| balthazar | Yes | 900 |
| merod | Yes | 82.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes received in this election. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the party that wins the most valid votes and the party that wins the second-most valid votes. Percentages of valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the party in question. If the Social Democratic Party (S) ties with one or more parties for the most valid votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for S. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another Party Wins”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten, https://www.val.se/). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sweden-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 50 |
| Stingy-Racing | Yes | 42 |
| korda77 | Yes | 40 |
| chh. | Yes | 35.71 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 18.29 |
| Slim-Target | Yes | 8 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
