Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 95% on 7 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 163 daily closes on record from 7 May 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.4% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.8% on 22 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 74.9% on 8 May 2026. $24.58K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 4:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 163 points, 7 May 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | 95.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 99.4% |
The sitting government of Romania was ousted through a vote of no-confidence on May 5, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the next Romanian governing coalition formed after market creation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first new Romanian government is officially formed following Parliament’s vote of confidence and the taking of the oath of office by the members of the Government. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post, will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the composition of the next governing coalition is not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Romania.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-romania
| predictdogepepewif | No | 120 |
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 100.1 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 81.35 |
| frontiertrade | No | 60 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Vlad4est | Yes | 48.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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