Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16% on 14 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 14 Mar 2026 to 5 Jun 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 39.6% on 17 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 38.8% on 23 Mar 2026. $6.24K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 6:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 14 Mar 2026 – 5 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | 16.0% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yelowyolo | Yes | 1.51K |
| yangguang0511 | Yes | 57.26 |
| 88mnm88 | Yes | 50 |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-part-of-the-next-government-of-slovenia
| Yes |
| 44.83 |
| Colala | Yes | 23.8 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 22 |
| Gaile | Yes | 15 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 14 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 14 |
| Itlliccaa | Yes | 12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
