Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 25 Sep 2026, the highest close was 12.2% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 12.2% on 19 Sep 2026. $105.3K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 10:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 25 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 8.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bogdanc1 | Yes | 90.54K |
| Petty-Homework | Yes | 2.35K |
| 754435523 | Yes | 2.34K |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election
| Yes |
| 238.1 |
| Niorzela | Yes | 193.25 |
| alex1-108 | Yes | 165.89 |
| Huye168 | Yes | 151.51 |
| a5533 | Yes | 66.9 |
| Susamogus | Yes | 43.8 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 40.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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