Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 37% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 16 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 1.4% on 20 Jul 2026. $1.18K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 37.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.54K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 170 |
| akko123 | Yes | 108.91 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections. If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-bangsamoro-parliament-election-party-winner-20260715164930563
| Yes |
| 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| soliton137 | Yes | 80 |
| merod | Yes | 75 |
| balthazar | Yes | 60 |
| nonono001 | Yes | 26.62 |
| korda77 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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