Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?

Resolved

Yes, settled Feb 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$7.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Feb 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 6 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 52% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 6 Feb 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 52% on 22 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 72% on 29 Jan 2026. $7.31K traded over the market's life.

18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 7, 8:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 6 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Jan 2026	52.0%
6 Feb 2026	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	518.09
KARACAC	No	223.46
TENETENET	No	199.97

10 of 18 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its February 6, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of India calendar: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=60062 This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their February 6, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.