Analytics
Yes is at 75%, up 22 points from 53% when the market opened on 5 Aug 2026.
Across the 80 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 20 Sep 2026 and the lowest 53% on 5 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 76%; a month before, 81.5%. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 80% on 6 Aug 2026.
Republican is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)”, ahead of Democrat at 26%.
$143.97 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.83K since listing. The order book holds $13.82K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $357.64 bought Yes and $320.05 bought No.
The largest Yes position is i2dt with 238 shares; the largest No position is Flamboyant-Warming with 113.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 80 points, 5 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | 53.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 75.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| i2dt | Yes | 238 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 113.38 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 64.83 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kentucky-governor-election-winner-2027-20260803161502425
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 43.28 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 33.23 |
| pppnn | Yes | 33.18 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | No | 30 |
| bananabreakfast | Yes | 25.56 |
| 79fsdfs | No | 6.79 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 4.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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