Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, down 16 points from 54.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 3 Nov 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 62.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 1 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 38.5% on 3 Nov 2026.
Roger Marshall (R) ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner”. Adam Hamilton (D) leads at 57.5%.
$1.6K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.28K since listing. The order book holds $330.42, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 308 trades, $3.58K bought Yes and $2.25K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Smal12 with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.9K. Ten wallets hold 88.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 2, 11:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 54.5% |
| 3 Nov 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.91K |
| Smal12 | Yes | 1.56K |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 1.09K |
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Sedgwick County in the election for United States Senator from Kansas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Kansas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Sedgwick County.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kansas-senate-election-sedgwick-county-winner
| Prickly-Eyrie |
| Yes |
| 760.24 |
| falaffel3 | Yes | 717.26 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 694.38 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 508.99 |
| K80PRO | No | 292.7 |
| DarkFish | Yes | 237.89 |
| lpgb | No | 147 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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