Analytics
Yes is at 6.5%, down 6 points from 12.5% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
180-184 ranks sixth of the 6 outcomes in “Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? (Lower Brackets)”. 190+ leads at 58.5%; Below 170 is at 15.3%.
$848.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.84K since listing. The order book holds $11.29K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $89.06 bought Yes and $954.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 440 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1K.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.01K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 439.5 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 295.99 |
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-lower-brackets
| RadioCCOD | Yes | 100 |
| tenx008 | Yes | 99.99 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 99.9 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 30.55 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| Chims | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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