Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 38 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 53 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 7% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.5%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 27.5% on 6 Sep 2026.
Jim Marchant (R) ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “Nevada Secretary of State Election Winner”. Cisco Aguilar (D) leads at 91.5%.
$607.75 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $16.32K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 32 trades, $14.03 bought Yes and $247.75 bought No.
The largest Yes position is sweetj with 70 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 158.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 157.93 |
| sweetj | Yes | 70 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 55.73 |
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nevada-secretary-of-state-election-winner-2026
| Prickly-Eyrie |
| No |
| 36 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21.93 |
| Rapid Beacon 8374 | Yes | 20 |
| C320-X | Yes | 20 |
| kittycat67 | No | 16 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 11 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 5.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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