
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 10% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 11 Dec 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 6.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 39.5% on 11 Dec 2025. $149.03K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 13, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 11 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 10.0% |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Beacon A56A | Yes | 134.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.48K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 1.06K |
| pompeytom | Yes | 702.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-price-on-december-11
| Iugurta | Yes | 262.29 |
| ebaniludik | Yes | 230 |
| paulhui666 | Yes | 100 |
| acal | Yes | 80.99 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 30 |
| Lesivv | Yes | 21.43 |
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