Analytics
Yes is at 16%, down 18 points from 34% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 16% on 30 Oct 2026.
2,300-2,400 ranks third of the 11 outcomes in “Ethereum price on November 1?”. 2,200-2,300 leads at 53.5%; 2,100-2,200 is at 21.8%.
$3.46K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5K since listing. The order book holds $21.42K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 52 trades, $346.69 bought Yes and $1.96K bought No.
The largest Yes position is gt197 with 566 shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 486.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 16.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gt197 | Yes | 566.37 |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 485.61 |
| ComicSansMS | No | 105.68 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-price-on-november-1-2026
| mtm101 |
| Yes |
| 61.78 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| Rapid Maven 7394 | No | 9.86 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 8 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8 |
| tbot-tai-lung | No | 7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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