
Resolved No on 12 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 6 May 2026 to 12 May 2026, the highest close was 19.6% on 7 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 19.6% on 7 May 2026. $5.12K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 13, 10:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 May 2026 – 12 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 1.5% |
| 12 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 3urico | Yes | 1K |
| acal | Yes | 999.97 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 217.37 |
| Purplenode | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-price-on-may-12
| pd.acc1 | Yes | 149.31 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.98 |
| Violet Atlas 9322 | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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