Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 26?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$100.0K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 26, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8% on 20 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 8% on 20 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.2 points down, to 1.8% on 21 Jan 2026. $99.96K traded over the market's life.

32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 12:21 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
20 Jan 2026	8.0%
26 Jan 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	40.36K
Slavikcom	Yes	13.27K
Siziriv	Yes	11.81K
Exciting-Sleuth	Yes	500

10 of 32 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.