
Resolved Yes on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 18.3%. Yes opened at 8% on 9 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Nov 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 18.3% on 15 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 8.7 points up, to 16.7% on 14 Nov 2025. $436.23K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Nov 2025 – 15 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | 8.0% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 18.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 34.22K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.34K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 599 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 389 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-november-15
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 136 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 94 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 77 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 12 |
| G.Gekko | No | 10 |
| Dependent-Airman | No | 1.02 |
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