
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 13% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 17% on 13 Dec 2025. $182.24K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mdamdas | Yes | 44K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.92K |
| 1wewsff | Yes | 3.2K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-december-18
| Busy-Coconut | Yes | 2.43K |
| maru-xan | Yes | 693.5 |
| DewiTrader | Yes | 600 |
| kerlayton | Yes | 481.55 |
| acal | Yes | 450 |
| wheelerrdealerr | Yes | 256.16 |
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