
Resolved Yes on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 1.4%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 14% on 26 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 1 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 6.5% on 27 Nov 2025. $159.7K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 11.5% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 1.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.51K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.07K |
| 50StackSteve | No | 264.22 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 173 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-december-1
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 140 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 119.97 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 112 |
| Keen Oracle 60E1 | No | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 80 |
| nevermindit | No | 31.55 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page