Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 7.5 points from 19% when the market opened on 1 Nov 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 1 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 4 Nov 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 12% on 5 Nov 2026.
76,000-78,000 ranks fourth of the 11 outcomes in “Bitcoin price on November 7?”. 80,000-82,000 leads at 36%; 78,000-80,000 is at 31%.
$394.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $523.14 since listing. The order book holds $18.55K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 903 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 903.
Trading closes on 7 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 10:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 1 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 5%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | 19.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| e46m3 | Yes | 903.41 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 903.41 |
| J1122 | Yes | 394.23 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-november-7-2026
| Impressive-Steak |
| No |
| 328.96 |
| apper | No | 78 |
| ComicSansMS | Yes | 45 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| mgb22 | No | 6.41 |
| harlighet | No | 5 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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