Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by July 31?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.2K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 17% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 37% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.9% on 15 Jul 2026. $5.17K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 6:19 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 27 May 2026 – 1 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 May 2026	17.0%
1 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Sid999	Yes	1K
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	50

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Powerball jackpot is equal to or greater than $1 billion on any drawing between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve once any Powerball jackpot reaches or exceeds the value specified in the title, or once the estimated jackpot on July 31, 2026, is finalized and no jackpot within the specified timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Powerball (https://www.powerball.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.