Will the People's Bank of China decrease rates in April?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.7K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.2% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.2% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Apr 2026. $11.72K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:38 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 30 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Apr 2026	3.2%
30 Apr 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	4.23K
wferox	Yes	1K
ACara	Yes	650.91
Indigo Tide 215D	Yes	333.58

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.