Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.9% on 4 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 152 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2025 to 2 Nov 2025, the highest close was 0.9% on 4 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Jun 2025. $646.09K traded over the market's life.
107 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 4:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 4 Jun 2025 – 2 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2025 | 0.9% |
| 2 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.68M |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 189.97K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 100.41K |
The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/netherlands-parliamentary-election
| mlferker | Yes | 63.55K |
| wisser | Yes | 52.69K |
| lissartter | Yes | 36.15K |
| ciro2 | Yes | 31.66K |
| braghs34 | Yes | 28.43K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 17.47K |
| xhinra37 | Yes | 15.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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