Resolved No on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 48% on 29 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 18 Sep 2026, the highest close was 49% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4% on 17 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 5.5% on 14 Sep 2026. $93.32 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 4:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 18 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.58K |
| balthazar | Yes | 489.99 |
| plainfolder | Yes | 163.19 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 132.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the club that wins the 2026 Japan Series (the Nippon Professional Baseball championship series). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed club to win the 2026 Japan Series (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NPB postseason is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no Japan Series champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NPB (https://npb.jp); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/npb-japan-series-champion-2026
| merod | Yes | 94 |
| god83743894 | Yes | 39.99 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 30 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
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