Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 44% on 18 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 75.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 75 points down, to 0.5% on 14 Aug 2026. $11.65K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 18 Jul 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | 44.0% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.57K |
| TrueDignity | Yes | 1.1K |
| KeithStarmer | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 Clacton by-election, including rejected ballots. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/clacton-by-election-turnout-20260717155703438
| Yes |
| 155 |
| Amber Pulse BB1D | Yes | 87.34 |
| Webstersd | Yes | 63.5 |
| Royal Pulse AF37 | Yes | 59.54 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| Morleyjh | Yes | 35 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page