Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.2%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 84% on 5 Dec 2024 and the low 2.9% on 10 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 52 points down, to 32% on 6 Dec 2024. $308.55K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 11, 7:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 34 points · 7 Nov 2024 – 10 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 33.5% |
| 10 Dec 2024 | 2.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 377.79K |
| Cute-Message | Yes | 11.14K |
| 3o93xjk43po33s | Yes | 1.01K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 710.93 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024.
Resolution source: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-2024-temperature-increase-c
| Ill-Appellation | Yes | 197.55 |
| schrodinger | Yes | 59.68 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 48.54 |
| cuno | Yes | 30 |
| Borisba | Yes | 9.3 |
| Mrcolag | Yes | 5.81 |
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