Analytics
Yes is at 3.2%, down 3.3 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 29 Aug 2026.
Across the 60 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9.5% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 3.2% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.8%; a month before, 8.3%.
NDC ranks fourth of the 6 outcomes in “Nigerian Senate Election Winner”. APC leads at 82.5%; PDP is at 12.4%.
$417.59 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.42K, with a 4.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 20 trades, $6.28 bought Yes and $159.95 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0xzipper with 190 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 707.
Trading closes on 17 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 29 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | 6.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 706.81 |
| 0xzipper | Yes | 190.13 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 140.67 |
National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election. If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the Senate. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, including any election petition tribunal or appellate ruling that nullifies a result, substitutes a declared winner, or orders a fresh election, will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nigerian-senate-election-winner
| Haradwaith | Yes | 130 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 83.63 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 65 |
| balthazar | Yes | 49.81 |
| tripsomewheresouth | Yes | 18.99 |
| pppnn | Yes | 16 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 7.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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