Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jan 2025.
$886.41 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 7:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 3 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2025 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.59K |
| Crimson Lynx 1EA2 | Yes | 31.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the fourth ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-ballots-to-elect-next-speaker
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