Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 21 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 21 May 2025 to 3 Jul 2025, the highest close was 26.7% on 19 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 7.4% on 20 Jun 2025. $15.64K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 21 May 2025 – 3 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2025 | 9.5% |
| 3 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.35K |
| eryetwerter45 | Yes | 1K |
| nxcvbnzcvn55 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-the-reconciliation-bill-passe
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 1K |
| qweqweqw51 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| JoE | Yes | 120 |
| ghfghttdfg | No | 7.61 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 0.51 |
| aureli | Yes | 0.01 |
