Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87.5%. Yes opened at 79.5% on 6 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 May 2025 to 8 May 2025, the highest close was 87.5% on 8 May 2025 and the lowest 79.5% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 87.5% on 8 May 2025. $6.43K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 May 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 75%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2025 | 79.5% |
| 8 May 2025 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TYriplecheese | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Next Pope is in favor of the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve to “No” if the Next Pope is against the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Next Pope is ambiguous or has unknown views on the listed issue according to collegeofcardinalsreport.com. This market will resolve immediately after the next pope is announced. Any statements on the listed issues after they have been announced will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be be the collegeofcardinalsreport.com, specifically,https://collegeofcardinalsreport.com/where-they-stand/. If the next Pope’s views are not listed on collegeofcardinalsreport.com, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-next-pope-believe-in
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