Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 22 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 19% on 1 May 2025 and the low 5% on 6 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 15.5% on 26 Apr 2025. $18.74K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 22 Apr 2025 – 8 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2025 | 7.5% |
| 8 May 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.35K |
| Maxmanwin | Yes | 55.56 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 0.02 |
| pup1 | Yes | 0.01 |
| lestAAAA | No | 0.01 |
| NiGriMa671 | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to the country from which the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis is from. The country where the next Pope was born will be used to determine which country they are from. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-country-will-next-pope-be-from-2
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