
Resolved No on 26 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77%. Yes opened at 48% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Aug 2026, the highest close was 48% on 25 Aug 2026 and the lowest 23% on 26 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 23% on 26 Aug 2026. $5 traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 26, 10:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 48.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | 23.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.73K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 209.98 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 80.31 |
| soliton137 | Yes | 22.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mythos-class-model-released-onptptpt-20260824151506141
| PollyForge | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
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