Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, about where the market opened on 18 Feb 2026.
Across the 214 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (39 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38% on 20 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 22 Feb 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 34.5% on 3 Sep 2026.
$2.16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $16.11K since listing. The order book holds $16.86K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is machbut with 689 shares; the largest No position is Rare-Fir with 373. Ten wallets hold 74.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 214 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 19.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| machbut | Yes | 689.04 |
| Cosmic Harbor CAEC | Yes | 484.46 |
| Rare-Fir | No | 373.33 |
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-next-elected-us-president-be-a-woman
| tnl |
| No |
| 357 |
| Dishonest-Ziggurat | No | 346.62 |
| super-token-link | No | 331.49 |
| smalle | No | 255.04 |
| CarVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 253.12 |
| Wikirise | No | 216.48 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 201.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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